Dynamic Associations Between Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Social Media Contents and Epidemic Measures During COVID-19: Infoveillance Study.

BACKGROUND: Health agencies have been widely adopting social media to disseminate important information, educate the public on emerging health issues, and understand public opinions. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) widely used social media platforms during the COVID-19 pandemic to communicate with the public and mitigate the disease in the United States. It is crucial to understand the relationships between the CDC's social media communications and the actual epidemic metrics to improve public health agencies' communication strategies during health emergencies. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to identify key topics in tweets posted by the CDC during the pandemic, investigate the temporal dynamics between these key topics and the actual COVID-19 epidemic measures, and make recommendations for the CDC's digital health communication strategies for future health emergencies. METHODS: Two types of data were collected: (1) a total of 17,524 COVID-19-related English tweets posted by the CDC between December 7, 2019, and January 15, 2022, and (2) COVID-19 epidemic measures in the United States from the public GitHub repository of Johns Hopkins University from January 2020 to July 2022. Latent Dirichlet allocation topic modeling was applied to identify key topics from all COVID-19-related tweets posted by the CDC, and the final topics were determined by domain experts. Various multivariate time series analysis techniques were applied between each of the identified key topics and actual COVID-19 epidemic measures to quantify the dynamic associations between these 2 types of time series data. RESULTS: Four major topics from the CDC's COVID-19 tweets were identified: (1) information on the prevention of health outcomes of COVID-19; (2) pediatric intervention and family safety; (3) updates of the epidemic situation of COVID-19; and (4) research and community engagement to curb COVID-19. Multivariate analyses showed that there were significant variabilities of progression between the CDC's topics and the actual COVID-19 epidemic measures. Some CDC topics showed substantial associations with the COVID-19 measures over different time spans throughout the pandemic, expressing similar temporal dynamics between these 2 types of time series data. CONCLUSIONS: Our study is the first to comprehensively investigate the dynamic associations between topics discussed by the CDC on Twitter and the COVID-19 epidemic measures in the United States. We identified 4 major topic themes via topic modeling and explored how each of these topics was associated with each major epidemic measure by performing various multivariate time series analyses. We recommend that it is critical for public health agencies, such as the CDC, to update and disseminate timely and accurate information to the public and align major topics with key epidemic measures over time. We suggest that social media can help public health agencies to inform the public on health emergencies and to mitigate them effectively.

Health Information on Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis From Search Engines and Twitter: Readability Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) is proven to prevent HIV infection. However, PrEP uptake to date has been limited and inequitable. Analyzing the readability of existing PrEP-related information is important to understand the potential impact of available PrEP information on PrEP uptake and identify opportunities to improve PrEP-related education and communication. OBJECTIVE: We examined the readability of web-based PrEP information identified using search engines and on Twitter. We investigated the readability of web-based PrEP documents, stratified by how the PrEP document was obtained on the web, information source, document format and communication method, PrEP modality, and intended audience. METHODS: Web-based PrEP information in English was systematically identified using search engines and the Twitter API. We manually verified and categorized results and described the method used to obtain information, information source, document format and communication method, PrEP modality, and intended audience. Documents were converted to plain text for the analysis and readability of the collected documents was assessed using 4 readability indices. We conducted pairwise comparisons of readability based on how the PrEP document was obtained on the web, information source, document format, communication method, PrEP modality, and intended audience, then adjusted for multiple comparisons. RESULTS: A total of 463 documents were identified. Overall, the readability of web-based PrEP information was at a higher level (10.2-grade reading level) than what is recommended for health information provided to the general public (ninth-grade reading level, as suggested by the Department of Health and Human Services). Brochures (n=33, 7% of all identified resources) were the only type of PrEP materials that achieved the target of ninth-grade reading level. CONCLUSIONS: Web-based PrEP information is often written at a complex level for potential and current PrEP users to understand. This may hinder PrEP uptake for some people who would benefit from it. The readability of PrEP-related information found on the web should be improved to align more closely with health communication guidelines for reading level to improve access to this important health information, facilitate informed decisions by those with a need for PrEP, and realize national prevention goals for PrEP uptake and reducing new HIV infections in the United States.

Content and sentiment surveillance (CSI): A critical component for modeling modern epidemics.

Comprehensive surveillance systems are the key to provide accurate data for effective modeling. Traditional symptom-based case surveillance has been joined with recent genomic, serologic, and environment surveillance to provide more integrated disease surveillance systems. A major gap in comprehensive disease surveillance is to accurately monitor potential population behavioral changes in real-time. Population-wide behaviors such as compliance with various interventions and vaccination acceptance significantly influence and drive the overall epidemic dynamics in the society. Original infoveillance utilizes online query data (e.g., Google and Wikipedia search of a specific content topic such as an epidemic) and later focuses on large volumes of online discourse data about the from social media platforms and further augments epidemic modeling. It mainly uses number of posts to approximate public awareness of the disease, and further compares with observed epidemic dynamics for better projection. The current COVID-19 pandemic shows that there is an urgency to further harness the rich, detailed content and sentiment information, which can provide more accurate and granular information on public awareness and perceptions toward multiple aspects of the disease, especially various interventions. In this perspective paper, we describe a novel conceptual analytical framework of content and sentiment infoveillance (CSI) and integration with epidemic modeling. This CSI framework includes data retrieval and pre-processing; information extraction via natural language processing to identify and quantify detailed time, location, content, and sentiment information; and integrating infoveillance with common epidemic modeling techniques of both mechanistic and data-driven methods. CSI complements and significantly enhances current epidemic models for more informed decision by integrating behavioral aspects from detailed, instantaneous infoveillance from massive social media data.

A Novel Approach to Characterize State-level Food Environment and Predict Obesity Rate Using Social Media Data: Correlational Study.

BACKGROUND: Community obesity outcomes can reflect the food environment to which the community belongs. Recent studies have suggested that the local food environment can be measured by the degree of food accessibility, and survey data are normally used to calculate food accessibility. However, compared with survey data, social media data are organic, continuously updated, and cheaper to collect. OBJECTIVE: The objective of our study was to use publicly available social media data to learn the relationship between food environment and obesity rates at the state level. METHODS: To characterize the caloric information of the local food environment, we used food categories from Yelp and collected caloric information from MyFitnessPal for each category based on their popular dishes. We then calculated the average calories for each category and created a weighted score for each state. We also calculated 2 other dimensions from the concept of access, acceptability and affordability, to build obesity prediction models. RESULTS: The local food environment characterized using only publicly available social media data had a statistically significant correlation with the state obesity rate. We achieved a Pearson correlation of 0.796 between the predicted obesity rate and the reported obesity rate from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System across US states and the District of Columbia. The model with 3 generated feature sets achieved the best performance. CONCLUSIONS: Our study proposed a method for characterizing state-level food environments only using continuously updated social media data. State-level food environments were accurately described using social media data, and the model also showed a disparity in the available food between states with different obesity rates. The proposed method should elastically apply to local food environments of different sizes and predict obesity rates effectively.

Input feature design and its impact on the performance of deep learning models for predicting fluence maps in intensity-modulated radiation therapy.

Objective. Deep learning (DL) models for fluence map prediction (FMP) have great potential to reduce treatment planning time in intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) by avoiding the lengthy inverse optimization process. This study aims to improve the rigor of input feature design in a DL-FMP model by examining how different designs of input features influence model prediction performance.Approach. This study included 231 head-and-neck intensity-modulated radiation therapy patients. Three input feature designs were investigated. The first design (D1) assumed that information of all critical structures from all beam angles should be combined to predict fluence maps. The second design (D2) assumed that local anatomical information was sufficient for predicting radiation intensity of a beamlet at a respective beam angle. The third design (D3) assumed the need for both local anatomical information and inter-beam modulation to predict radiation intensity values of the beamlets that intersect at a voxel. For each input design, we tailored the DL model accordingly. All models were trained using the same set of ground truth plans (GT plans). The plans generated by DL models (DL plans) were analyzed using key dose-volume metrics. One-way ANOVA with multiple comparisons correction (Bonferroni method) was performed (significance level = 0.05).Main results. For PTV-related metrics, all DL plans had significantly higher maximum dose (p < 0.001), conformity index (p < 0.001), and heterogeneity index (p < 0.001) compared to GT plans, with D2 being the worst performer. Meanwhile, except for cord+5 mm (p < 0.001), DL plans of all designs resulted in OAR dose metrics that are comparable to those of GT plans.Significance. Local anatomical information contains most of the information that DL models need to predict fluence maps for clinically acceptable OAR sparing. Input features from beam angles are needed to achieve the best PTV coverage. These results provide valuable insights for further improvement of DL-FMP models and DL models in general.

Using Social Media to Understand Web-Based Social Factors Concerning Obesity: Systematic Review.

BACKGROUND: Evidence in the literature surrounding obesity suggests that social factors play a substantial role in the spread of obesity. Although social ties with a friend who is obese increase the probability of becoming obese, the role of social media in this dynamic remains underexplored in obesity research. Given the rapid proliferation of social media in recent years, individuals socialize through social media and share their health-related daily routines, including dieting and exercising. Thus, it is timely and imperative to review previous studies focused on social factors in social media and obesity. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to examine web-based social factors in relation to obesity research. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review. We searched PubMed, Association for Computing Machinery, and ScienceDirect for articles published by July 5, 2019. Web-based social factors that are related to obesity behaviors were studied and analyzed. RESULTS: In total, 1608 studies were identified from the selected databases. Of these 1608 studies, 50 (3.11%) studies met the eligibility criteria. In total, 10 types of web-based social factors were identified, and a socioecological model was adopted to explain their potential impact on an individual from varying levels of web-based social structure to social media users' connection to the real world. CONCLUSIONS: We found 4 levels of interaction in social media. Gender was the only factor found at the individual level, and it affects user's web-based obesity-related behaviors. Social support was the predominant factor identified, which benefits users in their weight loss journey at the interpersonal level. Some factors, such as stigma were also found to be associated with a healthy web-based social environment. Understanding the effectiveness of these factors is essential to help users create and maintain a healthy lifestyle.

Technical note: Determining the applicability of a clinical knowledge-based learning model via prospective outlier detection.

BACKGROUND: Knowledge-based planning (KBP) is increasingly implemented clinically because of its demonstrated ability to improve treatment planning efficiency and reduce plan quality variations. However, cases with large dose-volume histogram (DVH) prediction uncertainties may still need manual adjustments by the planner to achieve high plan quality. PURPOSE: The purpose of this study is to develop a data-driven method to detect patients with high prediction uncertainties so that intentional effort is directed to these patients. METHODS: We apply an anomaly detection method known as the local outlier factor (LOF) to a dataset consisting of the training set and each of the prospective patients considered, to evaluate their likelihood of being an anomaly when compared with the training cases. Features used in the LOF analysis include anatomical features and the model-generated DVH principal component scores. To test the efficacy of the proposed model, 142 prostate patients were retrieved from the clinical database and split into a training dataset of 100 patients and a test dataset of 42 patients. The outlier identification performance was quantified by the difference between the DVH prediction root-mean-squared errors (RMSE) of the identified outlier cases and that of the remaining inlier cases. RESULTS: With a predefined LOF threshold of 1.4, the inlier cases achieved average RMSEs of 5.0 and 6.7 for bladder and rectum, while the outlier cases have substantially higher RMSEs of 6.7 and 13.0 in comparison. CONCLUSIONS: We propose a method that can determine the prospective patient's outlier status. This method can be integrated into existing automated treatment planning workflows to reduce the risk of generating suboptimal treatment plans while providing an upfront alert to the treatment planner.

Predictors of underutilization of lung cancer screening: a machine learning approach.

Lung cancer is the second common cancer and a leading cause of cancer-related death in the US. Unfavorably, the prevalence of using low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) for lung cancer prevention in the US has remained below 4% over time. The purpose of this study is to develop machine learning models to analyze interactive pathways of factors associated with lung cancer screening use with the LDCT. The study was based on the data retrieved from the 2018 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. After dealing with missing values, 86 variables and 710 samples were included in the decision tree model and the random forest model. The data were randomly split into training (569/710, 80%) and testing (141/710, 20%) sets. Gini impurity is used to select and determine the optimal split of the nodes in the model. Machine learning performance was evaluated by model accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, F1 score, etc. The average performance metrics of the decision tree model were obtained: average accuracy is 67.78%, F1 score is 65.76%, sensitivity is 62.52%, and specificity is 73.57% based on 100 runs. In the decision model, nine interactive pathways were identified among the following factors: average drinks per month, BMI, diabetes, first smoke age, years of smoking, year(s) quit smoking, sex, last sigmoidoscopy or colonoscopy, last dental visit, general health, insurance, education, and last Pap test. Lung cancer screening utilization is the result of the interplay of multifactors. Lung cancer screening programs in clinical settings should not only focus on patients' smoking behaviors but also consider other socioeconomic factors.

Statins and Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction Following Doxorubicin Treatment.

BACKGROUND: Statins taken for cardiovascular indications by patients with breast cancer and lymphoma during doxorubicin treatment may attenuate left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) decline, but the effect of statins on LVEF among patients with no cardiovascular indications is unknown. METHODS: A double-blind, placebo-controlled, 24-month randomized trial of 40 mg of atorvastatin per day administered to patients with breast cancer and lymphoma receiving doxorubicin was conducted within the National Cancer Institute Community Oncology Research Program across 31 sites in the United States. At pretreatment and then 6 and 24 months after initiating doxorubicin, we assessed left ventricular (LV) volumes, strain, mass, and LVEF through cardiac magnetic resonance imaging, along with cognitive function and serum markers of inflammation. The primary outcome was the difference in 24-month LVEF between placebo and treatment groups, adjusted for pretreatment LVEF. RESULTS: A total of 279 participants were enrolled in the trial. Participants had a mean (±SD) age of 49±12 years; 92% were women; and 83% were White. The mean (±SD) LVEF values were 61.7±5.5% before treatment and 57.4±6.8% at 24 months in the placebo group and 62.6±6.4% before treatment and 57.7±5.6% at 24 months in the atorvastatin group. On the basis of a multiple imputed data set for missing data and adjusted for each individual's pretreatment LVEF, 24-month declines in LVEF averaged 3.3±0.6 percentage points and 3.2±0.7 percentage points, for those randomly assigned to placebo versus statins, respectively (P=0.93). Across both treatment arms, similar percentages of individuals experienced changes of more than 10 percentage points in LVEF, LV strain, LV mass, cognition, and inflammation biomarkers, including among those with greater than 90% drug compliance. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with breast cancer and lymphoma with no existing indication for statin therapy, prospective statin administration did not affect LVEF declines 2 years after doxorubicin. (Funded by the National Institutes of Health; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01988571.).

A data-driven approach to optimal beam/arc angle selection for liver stereotactic body radiation therapy treatment planning.

BACKGROUND: Stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) for liver cancer has shown promising therapeutic effects. Effective treatment relies not only on the precise delivery provided by image-guided radiation therapy (IGRT) but also high dose gradient formed around the treatment volume to spare functional liver tissue, which is highly dependent on the beam/arc angle selection. In this study, we aim to develop a decision support model to learn human planner's beam navigation approach for beam angle/arc angle selection for liver SBRT. METHODS: A total of 27 liver SBRT/HIGRT patients (10 IMRT, 17 VMAT/DCA) were included in this study. A dosimetric budget index was defined for each beam angle/control point considering dose penetration through the patient body and liver tissue. Optimal beam angle setting (beam angles for IMRT and start/terminal angle for VMAT/DCA) was determined by minimizing the loss function defined as the sum of total dosimetric budget index and beam span penalty function. Leave-one-out validation was exercised on all 27 cases while weighting coefficients in the loss function was tuned in nested cross validation. To compare the efficacy of the model, a model plan was generated using automatically generated beam setting while retaining the original optimization constraints in the clinical plan. Model plan was normalized to the same planning target volume (PTV) V100% as the clinical plans. Dosimetric endpoints including PTV D98%, D2%, liver V20Gy and total MU were compared between two plan groups. Wilcoxon Signed-Rank test was performed with the null hypothesis being that no difference exists between two plan groups. RESULTS: Beam setting prediction was instantaneous. Mean PTV D98% was 91.3% and 91.3% (P=0.566), while mean PTV D2% was 107.9% and 108.1% (P=0.164) for clinical plan and model plan respectively. Liver V20Gy showed no significant difference (P=0.590) with 23.3% for clinical plan and 23.4% for the model plan. Total MU is comparable (P=0.256) between the clinical plan (avg. 2,389.6) and model plan (avg. 2,319.6). CONCLUSIONS: The evidence driven beam setting model yielded similar plan quality as hand-crafted clinical plan. It is capable of capturing human's knowledge in beam selection decision making. This model could facilitate decision making for beam angle selection while eliminating lengthy trial-and-error process of adjusting beam setting during liver SBRT treatment planning.

Assessing the robustness of artificial intelligence powered planning tools in radiotherapy clinical settings-a phantom simulation approach.

BACKGROUND: Artificial intelligence (AI) based radiotherapy treatment planning tools have gained interest in automating the treatment planning process. It is essential to understand their overall robustness in various clinical scenarios. This is an existing gap between many AI based tools and their actual clinical deployment. This study works to fill the gap for AI based treatment planning by investigating a clinical robustness assessment (CRA) tool for the AI based planning methods using a phantom simulation approach. METHODS: A cylindrical phantom was created in the treatment planning system (TPS) with the axial dimension of 30 cm by 18 cm. Key structures involved in pancreas stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) including PTV25, PTV33, C-Loop, stomach, bowel and liver were created within the phantom. Several simulation scenarios were created to mimic multiple scenarios of anatomical changes, including displacement, expansion, rotation and combination of three. The goal of treatment planning was to deliver 25 Gy to PTV25 and 33 Gy to PTV33 in 5 fractions in simultaneous integral boost (SIB) manner while limiting luminal organ-at-risk (OAR) max dose to be under 29 Gy. A previously developed deep learning based AI treatment planning tool for pancreas SBRT was identified as the validation object. For each scenario, the anatomy information was fed into the AI tool and the final fluence map associated to the plan was generated, which was subsequently sent to TPS for leaf sequencing and dose calculation. The final auto plan's quality was analyzed against the treatment planning constraint. The final plans' quality was further analyzed to evaluate potential correlation with anatomical changes using the Manhattan plot. RESULTS: A total of 32 scenarios were simulated in this study. For all scenarios, the mean PTV25 V25Gy of the AI based auto plans was 96.7% while mean PTV33 V33Gy was 82.2%. Large variation (16.3%) in PTV33 V33Gy was observed due to anatomical variations, a.k.a. proximity of luminal structure to PTV33. Mean max dose was 28.55, 27.68 and 24.63 Gy for C-Loop, bowel and stomach, respectively. Using D0.03cc as max dose surrogate, the value was 28.03, 27.12 and 23.84 Gy for C-Loop, bowel and stomach, respectively. Max dose constraint of 29 Gy was achieved for 81.3% cases for C-Loop and stomach, and 78.1% for bowel. Using D0.03cc as max dose surrogate, the passing rate was 90.6% for C-Loop, and 81.3% for bowel and stomach. Manhattan plot revealed high correlation between the OAR over dose and the minimal distance between the PTV33 and OAR. CONCLUSIONS: The results showed promising robustness of the pancreas SBRT AI tool, providing important evidence of its readiness for clinical implementation. The established workflow could guide the process of assuring clinical readiness of future AI based treatment planning tools.

Artificial intelligence applications in intensity modulated radiation treatment planning: an overview.

Artificial intelligence (AI) refers to methods that improve and automate challenging human tasks by systematically capturing and applying relevant knowledge in these tasks. Over the past decades, a number of approaches have been developed to address different types and needs of system intelligence ranging from search strategies to knowledge representation and inference to robotic planning. In the context of radiation treatment planning, multiple AI approaches may be adopted to improve the planning quality and efficiency. For example, knowledge representation and inference methods may improve dose prescription by integrating and reasoning about the domain knowledge described in many clinical guidelines and clinical trials reports. In this review, we will focus on the most studied AI approach in intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT)/volumetric modulated arc therapy (VMAT)-machine learning (ML) and describe our recent efforts in applying ML to improve the quality, consistency, and efficiency of IMRT/VMAT planning. With the available high-quality data, we can build models to accurately predict critical variables for each step of the planning process and thus automate and improve its outcomes. Specific to the IMRT/VMAT planning process, we can build models for each of the four critical components in the process: dose-volume histogram (DVH), Dose, Fluence, and Human Planner. These models can be divided into two general groups. The first group focuses on encoding prior experience and knowledge through ML and more recently deep learning (DL) from prior clinical plans and using these models to predict the optimal DVH (DVH prediction model), or 3D dose distribution (dose prediction model), or fluence map (fluence map model). The goal of these models is to reduce or remove the trial-and-error process and guarantee consistently high-quality plans. The second group of models focuses on mimicking human planners' decision-making process (planning strategy model) during the iterative adjustments/guidance of the optimization engine. Each critical step of the IMRT/VMAT treatment planning process can be improved and automated by AI methods. As more training data becomes available and more sophisticated models are developed, we can expect that the AI methods in treatment planning will continue to improve accuracy, efficiency, and robustness.

Insights of an AI agent via analysis of prediction errors: a case study of fluence map prediction for radiation therapy planning.

Purpose.We have previously reported an artificial intelligence (AI) agent that automatically generates intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) plans via fluence map prediction, by-passing inverse planning. This AI agent achieved clinically comparable quality for prostate cases, but its performance on head-and-neck patients leaves room for improvement. This study aims to collect insights of the deep-learning-based (DL-based) fluence map prediction model by systematically analyzing its prediction errors.Methods.From the modeling perspective, the DL model's output is the fluence maps of IMRT plans. However, from the clinical planning perspective, the plan quality evaluation should be based on the clinical dosimetric criteria such as dose-volume histograms. To account for the complex and non-intuitive relationships between fluence map prediction errors and the corresponding dose distribution changes, we propose a novel error analysis approach that systematically examines plan dosimetric changes that are induced by varying amounts of fluence prediction errors. We investigated four decomposition modes of model prediction errors. The two spatial domain decompositions are based on fluence intensity and fluence gradient. The two frequency domain decompositions are based on Fourier-space banded frequency rings and Fourier-space truncated low-frequency disks. The decomposed error was analyzed for its impact on the resulting plans' dosimetric metrics. The analysis was conducted on 15 test cases spared from the 200 training and 16 validation cases used to train the model.Results.Most planning target volume metrics were significantly correlated with most error decompositions. The Fourier space disk radii had the largest Spearman's coefficients. The low-frequency region within a disk of ∼20% Fourier space contained most of errors that impact overall plan quality.Conclusions.This study demonstrates the feasibility of using fluence map prediction error analysis to understand the AI agent's performance. Such insights will help fine-tune the DL models in architecture design and loss function selection.

Transfer learning for fluence map prediction in adrenal stereotactic body radiation therapy.

Objective:To design a deep transfer learning framework for modeling fluence map predictions for stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) of adrenal cancer and similar sites that usually have a small number of cases.Approach:We developed a transfer learning framework for adrenal SBRT planning that leverages knowledge in a pancreas SBRT planning model. Treatment plans from the two sites had different dose prescriptions and beam settings but both prioritized gastrointestinal sparing. A base framework was first trained with 100 pancreas cases. This framework consists of two convolutional neural networks (CNN), which predict individual beam doses (BD-CNN) and fluence maps (FM-CNN) sequentially for 9-beam intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) plans. Forty-five adrenal plans were split into training/validation/test sets with the ratio of 20/10/15. The base BD-CNN was re-trained with transfer learning using 5/10/15/20 adrenal training cases to produce multiple candidate adrenal BD-CNN models. The base FM-CNN was directly used for adrenal cases. The deep learning (DL) plans were evaluated by several clinically relevant dosimetric endpoints, producing a percentage score relative to the clinical plans.Main results:Transfer learning significantly reduced the number of training cases and training time needed to train such a DL framework. The adrenal transfer learning model trained with 5/10/15/20 cases achieved validation plan scores of 85.4/91.2/90.7/89.4, suggesting that model performance saturated with 10 training cases. Meanwhile, a model using all 20 adrenal training cases without transfer learning only scored 80.5. For the final test set, the 5/10/15/20-case models achieved scores of 73.5/75.3/78.9/83.3.Significance:It is feasible to use deep transfer learning to train an IMRT fluence prediction framework. This technique could adapt to different dose prescriptions and beam configurations. This framework potentially enables DL modeling for clinical sites that have a limited dataset, either due to few cases or due to rapid technology evolution.

[Contrasting Misinformation and Real-Information Dissemination Network Structures on Social Media During a Health Emergency]. / Comparación de las estructuras de difusión de información errónea y verídica en las redes sociales durante una emergencia de salud pública.

OBJECTIVES: To provide a comprehensive workflow to identify top influential health misinformation about Zika on Twitter in 2016, reconstruct information dissemination networks of retweeting, contrast mis- from real information on various metrics, and investigate how Zika misinformation proliferated on social media during the Zika epidemic. METHODS: We systematically reviewed the top 5000 English-language Zika tweets, established an evidence-based definition of "misinformation," identified misinformation tweets, and matched a comparable group of real-information tweets. We developed an algorithm to reconstruct retweeting networks for 266 misinformation and 458 comparable real-information tweets. We computed and compared 9 network metrics characterizing network structure across various levels between the 2 groups. RESULTS: There were statistically significant differences in all 9 network metrics between real and misinformation groups. Misinformation network structures were generally more sophisticated than those in the real-information group. There was substantial within-group variability, too. CONCLUSIONS: Dissemination networks of Zika misinformation differed substantially from real information on Twitter, indicating that misinformation utilized distinct dissemination mechanisms from real information. Our study will lead to a more holistic understanding of health misinformation challenges on social media.

Deep Learning-Based Fluence Map Prediction for Pancreas Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy With Simultaneous Integrated Boost.

PURPOSE: Treatment planning for pancreas stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) is a challenging task, especially with simultaneous integrated boost treatment approaches. We propose a deep learning (DL) framework to accurately predict fluence maps from patient anatomy and directly generate intensity modulated radiation therapy plans. METHODS AND MATERIALS: The framework employs 2 convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to sequentially generate beam dose prediction and fluence map prediction, creating a deliverable 9-beam intensity modulated radiation therapy plan. Within the beam dose prediction CNN, axial slices of combined structure contour masks are used to predict 3-dimensional (3D) beam doses for each beam. Each 3D beam dose is projected along its beam's-eye-view to form a 2D beam dose map, which is subsequently used by the fluence map prediction CNN to predict its fluence map. Finally, the 9 predicted fluence maps are imported into the treatment planning system to finalize the plan by leaf sequencing and dose calculation. One hundred patients receiving pancreas SBRT were retrospectively collected for this study. Benchmark plans with unified simultaneous integrated boost prescription (25/33 Gy) were manually optimized for each case. The data set was split into 80/20 cases for training and testing. We evaluated the proposed DL framework by assessing both the fluence maps and the final predicted plans. Further, clinical acceptability of the plans was evaluated by a physician specializing in gastrointestinal cancer. RESULTS: The DL-based planning was, on average, completed in under 2 minutes. In testing, the predicted plans achieved similar dose distribution compared with the benchmark plans (-1.5% deviation for planning target volume 33 V33Gy), with slightly higher planning target volume maximum (+1.03 Gy) and organ at risk maximum (+0.95 Gy) doses. After renormalization, the physician rated 19 cases clinically acceptable and 1 case requiring minor improvement. CONCLUSIONS: The DL framework can effectively plan pancreas SBRT cases within 2 minutes. The predicted plans are clinically deliverable, with plan quality approaching that of manual planning.

Both intermuscular fat and LVEF decline promote heart failure symptoms in cancer survivors.

BACKGROUND: Approximately 20% of cancer survivors treated with chemotherapy experience worsening heart failure (HF) symptoms post-cancer treatment. While research has predominantly investigated the role of cardiotoxic treatments, much less attention has focused on other risk factors, such as adiposity. However, emerging data in cancer survivors indicates that adiposity may also impact a variety of cardiovascular outcomes. METHODS: In a prospective study of 62 patients diagnosed with cancer followed for 24 months from cancer diagnosis through to survivorship (post-cancer treatment), we ascertained baseline fat depots including intermuscular fat (IMF) of the erector spinae muscles; and pre- and post-cancer treatment left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and HF symptoms at baseline and 24-months, respectively. Linear regression was used to model independent variables in relation to HF symptoms at 24-months. RESULTS: Baseline IMF and LVEF change over 24-months significantly interacted to predict HF score at 24-months. The highest HF symptom score was observed for participants who experienced high IMF at baseline and a high decline in LVEF over 24-months (HF score = 11.0) versus all other categories of baseline IMF and LVEF change. CONCLUSIONS: Together IMF and LVEF decline may play an important role in the worsening of HF symptoms in cancer survivors. The finding that IMF at cancer diagnosis led to elevated HF scores post-treatment suggests that IMF may be a potential target for intervention studies.

Comparación de las estructuras de difusión de información errónea y verídica en las redes sociales durante una emergencia de salud pública

[RESUMEN]. Objetivos. Elaborar un esquema operativo integral para detectar la información errónea principal sobre el zika distribuida en Twitter® en el 2016; reconstruir las redes por las que se difunde información mediante retuiteo; contrastar la información verídica frente a la errónea con diversos parámetros; e investigar cómo se difundió en las redes sociales la información errónea sobre el zika durante la epidemia. Métodos. Revisamos sistemáticamente los 5 000 tuits más retuiteados con información sobre el zika en inglés, definimos “información errónea” a partir de la evidencia, buscamos tuits que tuvieran información errónea y conformamos un grupo equiparable de tuits con información verídica. Elaboramos un algoritmo para reconstruir las redes de retuiteo de 266 tuits con información errónea y 458 tuits equiparables con información verídica. Calculamos y comparamos nueve parámetros para caracterizar la estructura de las redes a varios niveles, entre los dos grupos. Resultados. En los nueve parámetros se aprecian diferencias estadísticamente significativas entre el grupo de información verídica y el de información errónea. La información errónea en general se difunde mediante estructuras más sofisticadas que la información verídica. También hay una considerable variabilidad intragrupal. Conclusiones. Las redes de difusión de la información errónea sobre el zika en Twitter fueron sustancialmente diferentes que las de información verídica, lo cual indica que la información errónea se sirve de mecanismos de difusión distintos. Nuestro estudio permitirá formar una comprensión más holística de los desafíos que plantea la información errónea sobre salud en las redes sociales.

[ABSTRACT]. Objectives. To provide a comprehensive workflow to identify top influential health misinformation about Zika on Twitter in 2016, reconstruct information dissemination networks of retweeting, contrast mis- from real information on various metrics, and investigate how Zika misinformation proliferated on social media during the Zika epidemic. Methods. We systematically reviewed the top 5000 English-language Zika tweets, established an evidence-based definition of “misinformation,” identified misinformation tweets, and matched a comparable group of real-information tweets. We developed an algorithm to reconstruct retweeting networks for 266 misinformation and 458 comparable real-information tweets. We computed and compared 9 network metrics characterizing network structure across various levels between the 2 groups. Results. There were statistically significant differences in all 9 network metrics between real and misinformation groups. Misinformation network structures were generally more sophisticated than those in the real-information group. There was substantial within-group variability, too. Conclusions. Dissemination networks of Zika misinformation differed substantially from real information on Twitter, indicating that misinformation utilized distinct dissemination mechanisms from real information. Our study will lead to a more holistic understanding of health misinformation challenges on social media.

A Multimodality Machine Learning Approach to Differentiate Severe and Nonsevere COVID-19: Model Development and Validation.

BACKGROUND: Effectively and efficiently diagnosing patients who have COVID-19 with the accurate clinical type of the disease is essential to achieve optimal outcomes for the patients as well as to reduce the risk of overloading the health care system. Currently, severe and nonsevere COVID-19 types are differentiated by only a few features, which do not comprehensively characterize the complicated pathological, physiological, and immunological responses to SARS-CoV-2 infection in the different disease types. In addition, these type-defining features may not be readily testable at the time of diagnosis. OBJECTIVE: In this study, we aimed to use a machine learning approach to understand COVID-19 more comprehensively, accurately differentiate severe and nonsevere COVID-19 clinical types based on multiple medical features, and provide reliable predictions of the clinical type of the disease. METHODS: For this study, we recruited 214 confirmed patients with nonsevere COVID-19 and 148 patients with severe COVID-19. The clinical characteristics (26 features) and laboratory test results (26 features) upon admission were acquired as two input modalities. Exploratory analyses demonstrated that these features differed substantially between two clinical types. Machine learning random forest models based on all the features in each modality as well as on the top 5 features in each modality combined were developed and validated to differentiate COVID-19 clinical types. RESULTS: Using clinical and laboratory results independently as input, the random forest models achieved >90% and >95% predictive accuracy, respectively. The importance scores of the input features were further evaluated, and the top 5 features from each modality were identified (age, hypertension, cardiovascular disease, gender, and diabetes for the clinical features modality, and dimerized plasmin fragment D, high sensitivity troponin I, absolute neutrophil count, interleukin 6, and lactate dehydrogenase for the laboratory testing modality, in descending order). Using these top 10 multimodal features as the only input instead of all 52 features combined, the random forest model was able to achieve 97% predictive accuracy. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings shed light on how the human body reacts to SARS-CoV-2 infection as a unit and provide insights on effectively evaluating the disease severity of patients with COVID-19 based on more common medical features when gold standard features are not available. We suggest that clinical information can be used as an initial screening tool for self-evaluation and triage, while laboratory test results should be applied when accuracy is the priority.

An artificial intelligence-driven agent for real-time head-and-neck IMRT plan generation using conditional generative adversarial network (cGAN).

PURPOSE: To develop an artificial intelligence (AI) agent for fully automated rapid head-and-neck intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) plan generation without time-consuming dose-volume-based inverse planning. METHODS: This AI agent was trained via implementing a conditional generative adversarial network (cGAN) architecture. The generator, PyraNet, is a novel deep learning network that implements 28 classic ResNet blocks in pyramid-like concatenations. The discriminator is a customized four-layer DenseNet. The AI agent first generates multiple customized two-dimensional projections at nine template beam angles from a patient's three-dimensional computed tomography (CT) volume and structures. These projections are then stacked as four-dimensional inputs of PyraNet, from which nine radiation fluence maps of the corresponding template beam angles are generated simultaneously. Finally, the predicted fluence maps are automatically postprocessed by Gaussian deconvolution operations and imported into a commercial treatment planning system (TPS) for plan integrity check and visualization. The AI agent was built and tested upon 231 oropharyngeal IMRT plans from a TPS plan library. 200/16/15 plans were assigned for training/validation/testing, respectively. Only the primary plans in the sequential boost regime were studied. All plans were normalized to 44 Gy prescription (2 Gy/fx). A customized Harr wavelet loss was adopted for fluence map comparison during the training of the PyraNet. For test cases, isodose distributions in AI plans and TPS plans were qualitatively evaluated for overall dose distributions. Key dosimetric metrics were compared by Wilcoxon signed-rank tests with a significance level of 0.05. RESULTS: All 15 AI plans were successfully generated. Isodose gradients outside of PTV in AI plans were comparable to those of the TPS plans. After PTV coverage normalization, Dmean of left parotid (DAI  = 23.1 ± 2.4 Gy; DTPS  = 23.1 ± 2.0 Gy), right parotid (DAI  = 23.8 ± 3.0 Gy; DTPS  = 23.9 ± 2.3 Gy), and oral cavity (DAI  = 24.7 ± 6.0 Gy; DTPS  = 23.9 ± 4.3 Gy) in the AI plans and the TPS plans were comparable without statistical significance. AI plans achieved comparable results for maximum dose at 0.01cc of brainstem (DAI  = 15.0 ± 2.1 Gy; DTPS  = 15.5 ± 2.7 Gy) and cord + 5mm (DAI  = 27.5 ± 2.3 Gy; DTPS  = 25.8 ± 1.9 Gy) without clinically relevant differences, but body Dmax results (DAI  = 121.1 ± 3.9 Gy; DTPS  = 109.0 ± 0.9 Gy) were higher than the TPS plan results. The AI agent needed ~3 s for predicting fluence maps of an IMRT plan. CONCLUSIONS: With rapid and fully automated execution, the developed AI agent can generate complex head-and-neck IMRT plans with acceptable dosimetry quality. This approach holds great potential for clinical applications in preplanning decision-making and real-time planning.